Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Shahr Babak vs Ario Eslamshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Baseri M.

AI Match Summary

Mes Shahr Babak in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mes Shahr Babak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mes Shahr Babak
20%
Draws
38%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mes Shahr Babak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak have won more games recently than Ario Eslamshahr.
  • Mes Shahr Babak are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 20%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 14
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Ario Eslamshahr
2:2
Sep 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Baseri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 42 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mes Shahr Babak scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Mes Shahr Babak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Ario Eslamshahr
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618