Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Shahr Babak vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mes Shahr Babak
39%
Draws
31%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mes Shahr Babak lately — more wins on the board than Kara Gostar Shabestar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 20%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:1
Apr 22, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mes Shahr Babak
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 31 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Kara Gostar Shabestar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Mes Shahr Babak stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Shahr Babak

(Home)
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3
Mes Shahr Babak
27 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 0
Niroye Zamini
21 Jun
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Mes Shahr Babak
15 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
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Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Away)
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
15 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mazandaran
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
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