Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mesevo vs Paracin

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024 game between Mesevo and Paracin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paracin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mesevo
15%
Draws
0%
Paracin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mesevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mesevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mesevo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paracin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mesevo Clean Sheet 20%
Paracin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mesevo Paracin
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.8 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Mesevo vs Paracin
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Mesevo
1:0
May 20, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Mesevo vs Paracin
2:0
Oct 29, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Mesevo
1:0
Mar 12, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Mesevo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mesevo 85 / 100
Paracin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mesevo Paracin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mesevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mesevo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Paracin conceded in 82% of 44 recent games.

Away concern: Paracin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paracin
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mesevo

(Home)
01 Jun
Mesevo
3 : 1
Timocanin
26 May
Buducnost Popovac
3 : 0
Mesevo
18 May
Mesevo
3 : 0
FK Zitoradja
11 May
Jedinstvo Krusevac
3 : 1
Mesevo
04 May
Mesevo
4 : 2
Jagodina
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Paracin

(Away)
14 Jun
Jedinstvo Krusevac
9 : 0
Paracin
07 Jun
Paracin
0 : 4
Sindjelic
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
23 May
Paracin
0 : 2
OFK Bor 1919
17 May
Vlasina
4 : 2
Paracin
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trayal Krusevac 30 30 0 0 84:16 90
2 Sindjelic 30 16 4 10 52:45 52
3 Mesevo 30 16 4 10 54:45 51
4 Jedinstvo Krusevac 30 15 5 10 37:28 50
5 Radnicki Pirot 30 16 2 12 61:43 50
6 Jagodina 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
7 SFS Borac 30 13 4 13 53:54 43
8 Dunav Prahovo 30 13 4 13 43:43 43
9 Djerdap 30 13 4 13 39:52 43
10 Paracin 30 12 5 13 42:50 41
11 Vlasina 30 11 6 13 51:44 39
12 Radnicki Svilajnac 30 12 3 15 62:51 39
13 Buducnost Popovac 30 10 8 12 51:53 38
14 Pcinja 30 9 2 19 45:64 25
15 Timocanin 30 6 3 21 45:64 16
16 FK Zitoradja 30 3 2 25 21:100 11
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