Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Iberia 1999

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri
Meshakhte Tkibuli Logo

Meshakhte Tkibuli

1 - 4
FT
Iberia 1999 Logo

Iberia 1999

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bedoshvili V.
Assist: Dzagania A.
15'
Kobuladze G.
20' Event
Sikharulidze I.
Assist: Kurdadze L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Meshakhte Tkibuli and Iberia 1999 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
30%
Draws
47%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Iberia 1999 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 21%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli Iberia 1999
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Iberia 1999
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Georgian Cup
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Iberia 1999
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikharulidze I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedoshvili V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ghudushauri P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 37 / 100
Iberia 1999 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Iberia 1999 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Meshakhte Tkibuli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Meshakhte Tkibuli VS Iberia 1999
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
2 Iberia 1999 26 14 4 8 37:28 46
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 12 9 5 43:29 45
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)