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Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Iberia 1999 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meshakhte Tkibuli host Iberia 1999 in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Meshakhte Tkibuli have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Iberia 1999's 1.36 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Meshakhte Tkibuli have won 0 to Iberia 1999's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 23, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.94) back Iberia 1999 to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
30%
Draws
42%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iberia 1999 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 20%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli Iberia 1999
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 3 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Iberia 1999
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Georgian Cup
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Iberia 1999
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 32 / 100
Iberia 1999 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Iberia 1999 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Meshakhte Tkibuli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Meshakhte Tkibuli VS Iberia 1999
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)