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Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024

Kyanos Astir Varis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mesolongi AE play Kyanos Astir Varis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024. Kyanos Astir Varis are favorites here. Recently, Mesolongi AE averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Kyanos Astir Varis averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Mesolongi AE won 0, Kyanos Astir Varis won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 25, 2024 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Mesolongi AE and 0.93 for Kyanos Astir Varis. This points to a Kyanos Astir Varis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Mesolongi AE

23%

Draws

66%

Kyanos Astir Varis

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Kyanos Astir Varis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Mesolongi AE picked up more points recently compared to Kyanos Astir Varis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Mesolongi AE Clean Sheet 24%

Kyanos Astir Varis Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mesolongi AE	Kyanos Astir Varis
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	0	14
Draws	3	11
Losses	27	7
Goals Scored	0.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.9	0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Mesolongi AE vs Kyanos Astir Varis

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:5

Oct 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Kyanos Astir Varis vs Mesolongi AE

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mesolongi AE 15 / 100

Kyanos Astir Varis 63 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mesolongi AE Kyanos Astir Varis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyanos Astir Varis Win (2)

Secondary Pick Kyanos Astir Varis & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +266.6%

33.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mesolongi AE attacking → ← attacking Kyanos Astir Varis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mesolongi AE scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Kyanos Astir Varis let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Mesolongi AE went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kyanos Astir Varis lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panargiakos	34	23	7	4	49:13	76
2	Korinthos	34	21	7	6	58:29	70
3	Thyella Diastavroseos	34	19	8	7	52:28	65
4	Ellas Syrou	34	20	3	11	66:30	63
5	Kyanos Astir Varis	34	18	8	8	55:22	62
6	Marko	34	16	8	10	42:36	56
7	Ialisos	34	16	7	11	40:34	55
8	Rodos	34	15	10	9	51:29	55
9	Panegialios FC	34	17	4	13	56:43	55
10	Mykonos	34	15	6	13	51:35	51
11	Afantou	34	13	11	10	42:36	50
12	PAO Varda	34	13	4	17	33:49	43
13	Pyliou	34	10	7	17	35:48	37
14	Panelefsiniakos F.C.	34	11	2	21	36:66	35
15	Vyzas FC	34	8	9	17	32:64	33
16	Filiatron	34	5	11	18	35:54	23
17	Ermionidas-Ermis	34	5	7	22	24:58	22
18	Mesolongi AE	34	0	3	31	16:99	3