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Mesquita vs Duque de Caxias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Carioca 2008
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Carioca 2008 game between Mesquita and Duque de Caxias finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mesquita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mesquita
15%
Draws
85%
Duque de Caxias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duque de Caxias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mesquita haven't matched Duque de Caxias's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Duque de Caxias a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Carioca 2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mesquita Clean Sheet 20%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mesquita Duque de Caxias
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2009 Carioca
Duque de Caxias vs Mesquita
4:2
Apr 5, 2008 Carioca
Mesquita vs Duque de Caxias
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mesquita 10 / 100
Duque de Caxias 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mesquita Duque de Caxias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque de Caxias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Duque de Caxias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Mesquita's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Duque de Caxias registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Duque de Caxias
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mesquita

(Home)
10 Aug
Mesquita
0 : 3
Caac Brazil
03 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Mesquita
27 Jul
Mesquita
0 : 3
EC Vera Cruz
13 Jul
Angra dos Reis
3 : 0
Mesquita
07 Jul
Mesquita
0 : 3
Riostrense
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Duque de Caxias

(Away)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
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