Sport Picks

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Messinense vs FC Cesarense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cesarense in this Taça de Portugal 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cesarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Messinense
22%
Draws
18%
FC Cesarense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Messinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Cesarense haven't matched Messinense's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Messinense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Messinense Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Messinense FC Cesarense
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 4 3
Draws 0 12
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Messinense vs FC Cesarense
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Messinense 58 / 100
FC Cesarense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Messinense FC Cesarense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Messinense found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Messinense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Cesarense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Porto4
AD Limianos1
Operario0
Moreirense2
Santa Maria FC1
Penalva do Castelo0
Santa Clara0
Juv. Evora1
Leixoes3
Mafra2
AD Pontassolense1
SC Espinho4
Tirsense5
Sampedrense1
AD Fafe0
Pinhalnovense3
Rio Ave4
Estrela Vendas Novas1
Anadia1
Feirense2
GD Tourizense2
Aliados Lordelo1
Macedo de Cavaleiros1
Atletico CP3
Olhanense1
Sertanense0
Padroense2
Nacional4
Braga2
1º Dezembro1
Arouca1
Benfica5
Academica2
FC Cesarense1
SC Mirandela1
Beira Mar2
Bombarralense0
Louletano0
Leiria1
U. Madeira2
Sporting CP2
Estoril1
Sao Joao de Ver1
Pacos Ferreira3
Maritimo2
Naval0
Gil Vicente1
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense2
SC Farense1
Fatima0
Carregado1
Ribeirao2
BSAD0
Gondomar0
Varzim1
Torreense1
Lagoa0
Coimbroes1
Mondinense2
Portimonense2
Cinfaes0
Malveira0
Vitoria Guimaraes4
1/16-finals
FC Porto1
Moreirense0
Santa Maria FC0
Juv. Evora3
Leixoes2
SC Espinho1
Tirsense0
Pinhalnovense2
Rio Ave3
Feirense0
GD Tourizense2
Atletico CP3
Olhanense1
Nacional0
Braga0
Benfica2
Academica2
Beira Mar0
Bombarralense-
U. Madeira-
Sporting CP1
Pacos Ferreira0
Maritimo1
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense2
Carregado0
Ribeirao3
Varzim4
Torreense2
Mondinense1
Portimonense1
Vitoria Guimaraes2
1/8-finals
FC Porto4
Juv. Evora0
Leixoes1
Pinhalnovense2
Rio Ave4
Atletico CP1
Olhanense0
Benfica5
Academica3
U. Madeira1
Sporting CP1
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense2
Varzim1
Torreense0
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto2
Pinhalnovense0
Rio Ave0
Benfica2
Academica3
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense0
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Semi-finals
FC Porto3
Benfica3
Academica0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Final
FC Porto6
Vitoria Guimaraes2