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Met. Skopje vs Mladost Carev Dvor

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2016/2017
Wed, Sep 21, 2016
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Macedonian Cup 2016/2017. This has Met. Skopje written all over it on paper. Met. Skopje have averaged 1.15 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Mladost Carev Dvor's 0.53 scored and 2.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Met. Skopje have won 2 to Mladost Carev Dvor's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.31) point toward Met. Skopje. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Met. Skopje
15%
Draws
0%
Mladost Carev Dvor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Met. Skopje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mladost Carev Dvor haven't matched Met. Skopje's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Met. Skopje a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Met. Skopje have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Met. Skopje, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Met. Skopje Clean Sheet 18%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Met. Skopje Mladost Carev Dvor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.15 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2016 Macedonian Cup
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Met. Skopje
0:0
Sep 21, 2016 Macedonian Cup
Met. Skopje vs Mladost Carev Dvor
0:0
May 8, 2016 1. MFL
Met. Skopje vs Mladost Carev Dvor
4:0
Apr 24, 2016 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Met. Skopje
2:0
Apr 10, 2016 1. MFL
Met. Skopje vs Mladost Carev Dvor
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Met. Skopje 49 / 100
Mladost Carev Dvor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Met. Skopje Mladost Carev Dvor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Met. Skopje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost Carev Dvor let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Mladost Carev Dvor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Met. Skopje scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Met. Skopje VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Met. Skopje

(Home)
27 May
Met. Skopje
0 : 1
Teteks
20 May
FK Skopje
4 : 0
Met. Skopje
13 May
Met. Skopje
0 : 2
Tikves
06 May
Novaci
2 : 0
Met. Skopje
30 Apr
Met. Skopje
1 : 1
Vardar Negotino
Page 1 of 7

Mladost Carev Dvor

(Away)
12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
:
Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
:
Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4
Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0
Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2
Turnovo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vardar 9
Skenderbeu Poroj 0
Miravci 0
Vellazerimi 3
Mladost Carev Dvor -
TBD -
Sateska Volino 0
Met. Skopje 3
Shkupi 2
Vardar Negotino 0
Makedonija GP 0
Brera Strumica 5
Rabotnicki 6
FK Caklani 1
Golemo Konjari 0
Shkendija Tetovo 11
Bregalnica Stip -
TBD -
Vlaznimi 0
Teteks 1
Novaci 2
FK Skopje 1
Fortuna Skopje 0
Pobeda 3
Sileks 1
Males 0
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Turnovo 6
Renova 3
Gorno Lisice 1
Belasica Strumica 2
Pelister 3
1/8-finals
Vardar 5
Vellazerimi 1
Mladost Carev Dvor -
Met. Skopje -
Shkupi 4
Brera Strumica 1
Rabotnicki 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Bregalnica Stip 6
Teteks 1
Novaci 1
Pobeda 7
Sileks 5
Turnovo 4
Renova 3
Pelister 3
Quarter-finals
Vardar 8
Met. Skopje 2
Shkupi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 4
Bregalnica Stip 5
Pobeda 2
Sileks 1
Pelister 3
Semi-finals
Vardar 2
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Bregalnica Stip 2
Pelister 3
Final
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Pelister 1