Sport Picks
Met. Skopje vs Vardar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North Macedonia
Macedonian Cup 2016/2017 
Match Events
9'
9'
Asani J.
26'
26'
Nikolov B.
29'
29'
Popov G.
AI Match Summary
Vardar in this Macedonian Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vardar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Met. Skopje haven't matched Vardar's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Vardar taking it.
- Vardar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vardar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vardar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Met. Skopje Clean Sheet 16%
Vardar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Met. Skopje | Vardar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 22 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 2.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2016 Macedonian Cup
Vardar vs Met. Skopje
4:1
Nov 23, 2016 Macedonian Cup
Met. Skopje vs Vardar
1:4
Mar 19, 2016 1. MFL
Vardar vs Met. Skopje
2:1
Nov 1, 2015 1. MFL
Met. Skopje vs Vardar
0:1
Aug 26, 2015 1. MFL
Vardar vs Met. Skopje
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Met. Skopje Compare
Top Goalscorer Fidanovski T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Vardar Compare
Top Goalscorer Asani J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nikolov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Met. Skopje 10 / 100
Vardar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Met. Skopje Vardar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Met. Skopje's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Vardar has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.
Solid form: Met. Skopje remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Met. Skopje
(Home) 27 May
Met. Skopje
0 : 1 Teteks
20 May
FK Skopje
4 : 0 Met. Skopje
13 May
Met. Skopje
0 : 2 Tikves
06 May
Novaci
2 : 0 Met. Skopje
30 Apr
Met. Skopje
1 : 1 Vardar Negotino
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27 May
Met. Skopje
0 : 1 Teteks
13 May
Met. Skopje
0 : 2 Tikves
30 Apr
Met. Skopje
1 : 1 Vardar Negotino
15 Apr
Met. Skopje
0 : 0 Vellazerimi
25 Mar
Met. Skopje
1 : 3 Vellazerimi
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Vardar
(Away) 19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5 Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1 Vardar
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5 Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1 Vardar
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0 Vardar
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2 Vardar
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Vardar 9
Skenderbeu Poroj 0
Miravci 0
Vellazerimi 3
Mladost Carev Dvor -
TBD -
Sateska Volino 0
Met. Skopje 3
Shkupi 2
Vardar Negotino 0
Makedonija GP 0
Brera Strumica 5
Rabotnicki 6
FK Caklani 1
Golemo Konjari 0
Shkendija Tetovo 11
Bregalnica Stip -
TBD -
Vlaznimi 0
Teteks 1
Novaci 2
FK Skopje 1
Fortuna Skopje 0
Pobeda 3
Sileks 1
Males 0
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Turnovo 6
Renova 3
Gorno Lisice 1
Belasica Strumica 2
Pelister 3
1/8-finals
Vardar 5
Vellazerimi 1
Mladost Carev Dvor -
Met. Skopje -
Shkupi 4
Brera Strumica 1
Rabotnicki 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Bregalnica Stip 6
Teteks 1
Novaci 1
Pobeda 7
Sileks 5
Turnovo 4
Renova 3
Pelister 3
Quarter-finals
Vardar 8
Met. Skopje 2
Shkupi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 4
Bregalnica Stip 5
Pobeda 2
Sileks 1
Pelister 3
Semi-finals
Vardar 2
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Bregalnica Stip 2
Pelister 3
Final
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Pelister 1
