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Metalac vs Josanica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 game between Metalac and Josanica finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metalac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Metalac
30%
Draws
19%
Josanica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Metalac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Metalac are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Metalac here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Metalac Clean Sheet 14%
Josanica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalac Josanica
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Metalac vs Josanica
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Josanica vs Metalac
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Metalac vs Josanica
2:5
Oct 6, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Josanica vs Metalac
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalac 84 / 100
Josanica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalac Josanica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalac scored in 82% of their last 38 games.

Josanica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Metalac went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalac VS Josanica
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalac

(Home)
04 Oct
Vrsac
0 : 0
Metalac
28 Sept
OFK Bor 1919
0 : 2
Metalac
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
16 Sept
Borac 1926
1 : 2
Metalac
11 Sept
Metalac
5 : 0
Dubocica
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Josanica

(Away)
07 Jun
Josanica
3 : 1
Sloga Pozega
31 May
Radnicki Valjevo
1 : 1
Josanica
23 May
Josanica
1 : 1
OFK Napredak
16 May
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
5 : 1
Josanica
09 May
Josanica
1 : 2
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
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