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Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Metalist Kharkiv Logo

Metalist Kharkiv

1 - 1
FT
Nyva Ternopil Logo

Nyva Ternopil

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Paruta D.
16'
Snurnitsyn I.
54'
Sub
Kvas K. In: Bugaj V.
Out: Kvas K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Metalist Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Metalist Kharkiv
35%
Draws
42%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metalist Kharkiv come out ahead of Nyva Ternopil on wins alone.
  • Nyva Ternopil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 25%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1
May 2, 2026 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:0
Oct 13, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Boryachuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 29 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Nyva Ternopil let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Metalist Kharkiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS Nyva Ternopil
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
23 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
17 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
18 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Fenix Mariupol 13 7 3 3 20:13 24
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
4 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
5 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 13 4 3 6 13:16 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)