Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalist Kharkiv vs Oleksandriya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kozak O.
35'
Prykhodko D.
46'
Sub
Kozak O. In: Kuzmyn R.
Out: Kozak O.

AI Match Summary

Oleksandriya in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oleksandriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Metalist Kharkiv
30%
Draws
47%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Metalist Kharkiv have won more games recently than Oleksandriya.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Oleksandriya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 22%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv Oleksandriya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Oleksandriya
0:2
Mar 17, 2023 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Oleksandriya
0:0
Sep 5, 2022 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:3
Nov 28, 2015 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:0
Aug 2, 2015 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Oleksandriya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonnatan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yade P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 29 / 100
Oleksandriya 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv Oleksandriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Oleksandriya has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Metalist Kharkiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS Oleksandriya
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Oleksandriya

(Away)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)