Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kaydalov D.
15'
Tsvirenko O.
32'
Porokh B.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Metalist Kharkiv and UCSA finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metalist Kharkiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Metalist Kharkiv
35%
Draws
32%
UCSA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UCSA's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Metalist Kharkiv have produced (1.07).
  • Model gives Metalist Kharkiv a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 20%
UCSA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv UCSA
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:1
May 18, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:3
Apr 18, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs UCSA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaydalov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

UCSA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 36 / 100
UCSA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv UCSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Metalist Kharkiv scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

UCSA has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Metalist Kharkiv stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS UCSA
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
15 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
09 Aug
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
01 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
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UCSA

(Away)
15 Aug
SC Poltava
0 : 0
UCSA
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
31 Jul
UCSA
4 : 4
Oleksandriya
25 Jul
Zhytomyr 2
2 : 2
UCSA
10 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
UCSA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)