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Metalleghe vs Gradacac

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

FBiH 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 21, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metalleghe host Gradacac in the FBiH 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Metalleghe have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Gradacac's 1.79 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Metalleghe have won 1 to Gradacac's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.24, favoring Metalleghe. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Metalleghe
35%
Draws
28%
Gradacac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metalleghe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Metalleghe haven't matched Gradacac's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gradacac a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FBiH 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Metalleghe Clean Sheet 19%
Gradacac Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalleghe Gradacac
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.44 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2020 Prva Liga - FBiH
Metalleghe vs Gradacac
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Metalleghe
5:0
Apr 13, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH
Metalleghe vs Gradacac
1:0
Sep 22, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Metalleghe
3:2
Mar 25, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradacac vs Metalleghe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalleghe 16 / 100
Gradacac 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalleghe Gradacac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gradacac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gradacac conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Metalleghe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Metalleghe's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gradacac
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalleghe

(Home)
07 Mar
Metalleghe
2 : 0
Gorazde
16 Nov
Metalleghe
2 : 2
Capljina
09 Nov
Igman Konjic
1 : 1
Metalleghe
02 Nov
Metalleghe
4 : 1
Travnik
26 Oct
Zivinice
1 : 1
Metalleghe
Page 1 of 4

Gradacac

(Away)
15 Aug
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 0
Gradacac
01 Aug
FK Sloga Meridian
1 : 0
Gradacac
18 Jul
Zvijezda 09
0 : 6
Gradacac
10 Jul
Celik Zenica
1 : 1
Gradacac
08 Jun
Gradacac
6 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpik Sarajevo 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
2 TOSK Tesanj 16 10 1 5 27:21 31
3 Gorazde 16 8 4 4 27:15 28
4 NK GOSK Gabela 16 8 4 4 30:25 28
5 Capljina 16 7 3 6 19:15 24
6 Kakanj 16 7 2 7 26:21 23
7 Travnik 16 7 2 7 23:21 23
8 Igman Konjic 16 7 2 7 17:18 23
9 Gradacac 16 6 4 6 23:26 22
10 Metalleghe 16 5 6 5 23:26 21
11 Banovici 16 5 5 6 26:22 20
12 Bratstvo Gracanica 16 6 2 8 24:29 20
13 HNK Orasje 16 5 3 8 24:32 18
14 Jedinstvo Bihac 16 5 2 9 20:30 17
15 Zivinice 16 4 1 11 15:24 13
16 Hadzici 16 4 1 11 17:31 13
Promotion - Premier League 2020/2021 (Main)