Sport Picks
Metalul Buzau vs Ceahlaul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Romania
Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass, Buzau 
Match Events
7'
7'
Opait F.
7'
7'
Davordzie C.
(Penalty)
10'
10'
Saim Tudor A.
AI Match Summary
Metalul Buzau in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalul Buzau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalul Buzau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Metalul Buzau have won more games recently than Ceahlaul.
- Metalul Buzau are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Metalul Buzau here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 20%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalul Buzau | Ceahlaul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Ceahlaul vs Metalul Buzau
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs Ceahlaul
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Romanian Cup
Metalul Buzau vs Ceahlaul
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs Ceahlaul
2:0
May 27, 2023 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Metalul Buzau vs Ceahlaul
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metalul Buzau Compare
Top Goalscorer Saim Tudor A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Ceahlaul Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metalul Buzau 58 / 100
Ceahlaul 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metalul Buzau Ceahlaul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalul Buzau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ceahlaul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Metalul Buzau's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Metalul Buzau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Metalul Buzau VS Ceahlaul
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Metalul Buzau
(Home) 19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1 Metalul Buzau
13 Sept
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Unirea Slobozia
05 Sept
Selimbar
1 : 1 Metalul Buzau
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3 Chindia Targoviste
22 Aug
CSM Slatina
2 : 0 Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Unirea Slobozia
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3 Chindia Targoviste
08 Aug
Metalul Buzau
3 : 1 Afumati
20 Jul
Metalul Buzau
1 : 0 Gjilani
10 Jul
Metalul Buzau
0 : 0 Calarasi
Page 1 of 3
Ceahlaul
(Away) 03 Oct
Adjud
1 : 1 Ceahlaul
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3 Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0 Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1 Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0 Ceahlaul
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Adjud
1 : 1 Ceahlaul
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0 Ceahlaul
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0 Ceahlaul
29 Aug
Viitorul Onesti
5 : 0 Ceahlaul
05 Aug
VSK Gyergyo
5 : 0 Ceahlaul
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 37:13 | 53 |
| 2 | Sepsi | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 34:18 | 44 |
| 3 | Chindia Targoviste | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 38:20 | 39 |
| 4 | FC Bihor | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40:24 | 39 |
| 5 | Voluntari | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 30:16 | 39 |
| 6 | Steaua Bucuresti | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 36:27 | 39 |
| 7 | FC ASA Tg. Mures | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37:22 | 37 |
| 8 | CSM Resita | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 35:29 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:26 | 33 |
| 10 | Metalul Buzau | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 33:26 | 32 |
| 11 | Poli Iasi | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25:22 | 31 |
| 12 | Afumati | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30:26 | 30 |
| 13 | Concordia | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29:24 | 27 |
| 14 | Gloria Bistrita | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:29 | 26 |
| 15 | CSM Slatina | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:28 | 26 |
| 16 | CSC Dumbravita | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:33 | 25 |
| 17 | Selimbar | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27:32 | 20 |
| 18 | Ceahlaul | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 19 | CS Din. Bucuresti | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Tunari | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 21 | CSM Satu Mare | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:45 | 14 |
| 22 | Campulung | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10:53 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
