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Metapan vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metapan host Aguila in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Metapan have averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Aguila's 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Metapan have won 2 to Aguila's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.50, favoring Aguila. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Metapan
20%
Draws
38%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguila come out ahead of Metapan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Metapan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Metapan Clean Sheet 16%
Aguila Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Aguila
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
4:2
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
2:1
Sep 25, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 41 / 100
Aguila 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Metapan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Metapan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Aguila
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Metapan11004:23
2Alianza FC11003:13
3FAS11003:13
4Luis Angel Firpo10101:11
5Aguila10101:11
6Platense Municipal10101:11
7Fuerte San Francisco10101:11
8Atletico Balboa10100:01
9Inter Santa Tecla10100:01
10Cacahuatique10012:40
11Municipal Limeno10011:30
12Inca Aruba10011:30
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)