Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Haberkorn F.
84' Event
Cartagena M.
90' Event
Andrada F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Metapan and Aguila finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Metapan
20%
Draws
38%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguila come out ahead of Metapan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Metapan Clean Sheet 20%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Aguila
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
4:2
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Haberkorn F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cartagena M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 36 / 100
Aguila 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Metapan scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Metapan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Aguila
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
28 Aug
Municipal Limeno
3 : 1
Metapan
23 Aug
Metapan
2 : 0
Alianza FC
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Aguila

(Away)
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
23 Aug
FAS
1 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Inter Santa Tecla 9 5 3 1 14:6 18
3 Municipal Limeno 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
4 FAS 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
5 Luis Angel Firpo 8 4 2 2 13:6 14
6 Atletico Balboa 10 3 3 4 11:13 12
7 Platense Municipal 10 3 3 4 12:15 12
8 Aguila 10 2 5 3 15:14 11
9 Alianza FC 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Inca Aruba 10 2 2 6 6:19 8
11 Cacahuatique 9 1 4 4 11:16 7
12 Fuerte San Francisco 9 1 3 5 5:15 6
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)