Sport Picks
Metapan vs Cacahuatique
El Salvador
Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán 
Match Events
31'
31'
Portillo A.
85'
85'
Guerra S.
89'
89'
Pacheco J. A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Metapan and Cacahuatique finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metapan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Cacahuatique's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Metapan have produced (1.07).
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Metapan taking it.
- Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%
Cacahuatique Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metapan | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Metapan
2:4
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Cacahuatique
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Metapan
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Cacahuatique
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Metapan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metapan Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerra S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Cacahuatique Compare
Top Goalscorer Portillo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metapan 68 / 100
Cacahuatique 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metapan Cacahuatique
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metapan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Metapan scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Cacahuatique let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Metapan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Metapan VS Cacahuatique
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Metapan
(Home) 15 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0 Metapan
08 Aug
Metapan
2 : 1 Aguila
02 Aug
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0 Metapan
31 Jul
Metapan
2 : 0 FAS
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4 Metapan
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Metapan
2 : 1 Aguila
31 Jul
Metapan
2 : 0 FAS
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2 Luis Angel Firpo
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3 Fuerte San Francisco
21 Apr
Metapan
1 : 1 Alianza FC
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Cacahuatique
(Away) 16 Aug
Alianza FC
0 : 0 Cacahuatique
09 Aug
Cacahuatique
0 : 0 Fuerte San Francisco
02 Aug
Cacahuatique
2 : 2 Aguila
28 Jul
Cacahuatique
4 : 2 Atletico Balboa
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4 Metapan
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Alianza FC
0 : 0 Cacahuatique
10 May
FAS
2 : 1 Cacahuatique
01 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 3 Cacahuatique
19 Apr
FAS
3 : 0 Cacahuatique
12 Apr
Metapan
1 : 1 Cacahuatique
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 49:16 | 53 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 44 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:30 | 37 |
| 4 | Inter Santa Tecla | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33:21 | 35 |
| 6 | Aguila | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27:24 | 35 |
| 7 | Metapan | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 23:30 | 27 |
| 8 | Cacahuatique | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | 26 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | 20 |
| 10 | Hercules | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27:43 | 19 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 18:35 | 14 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca FC | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 23:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
