Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Inter Santa Tecla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metapan host Inter Santa Tecla in the Primera Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Metapan at 1.21 goals for, 1.21 against; Inter Santa Tecla at 1.31 for, 1.04 against. Past meetings favor Inter Santa Tecla slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.13) point toward Inter Santa Tecla. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Metapan
35%
Draws
30%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metapan come out ahead of Inter Santa Tecla on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Metapan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Metapan Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 Copa Presidente
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Metapan
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 36 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metapan scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Inter Santa Tecla conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Metapan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
11 Nov
Metapan
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
07 Nov
Inca Aruba
1 : 1
Metapan
01 Nov
Metapan
1 : 1
Municipal Limeno
24 Oct
Alianza FC
1 : 0
Metapan
22 Oct
FAS
0 : 0
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
12 Nov
FAS
2 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
08 Nov
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
31 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
24 Oct
Inca Aruba
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
17 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 7 2 35:15 40
2 Metapan 20 10 5 5 27:21 35
3 FAS 20 9 7 4 33:23 34
4 Aguila 20 8 7 5 37:28 31
5 Inter Santa Tecla 20 6 10 4 27:20 28
6 Platense Municipal 20 7 6 7 26:24 27
7 Alianza FC 20 6 8 6 26:27 26
8 Municipal Limeno 21 6 6 9 32:33 24
9 Atletico Balboa 20 6 5 9 25:32 23
10 Cacahuatique 20 4 8 8 22:30 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 21 3 8 10 21:36 17
12 Inca Aruba 20 4 5 11 15:37 17
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)