Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bonilla E.
60' Event
Urrutia J.
74' Event
Arizala Dajomes W. Y.

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo in this Primera Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Metapan
28%
Draws
50%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won more games recently than Metapan.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Luis Angel Firpo taking it.
  • Luis Angel Firpo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luis Angel Firpo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Metapan Clean Sheet 13%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:1
May 7, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrutia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arizala Dajomes W. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 22 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metapan scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Luis Angel Firpo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Metapan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Luis Angel Firpo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
21 Apr
Metapan
1 : 1
Alianza FC
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FAS3
Cacahuatique2
Inter Santa Tecla2
Municipal Limeno3
Luis Angel Firpo3
Metapan2
Alianza FC1
Aguila4
Semi-finals
FAS2
Municipal Limeno1
Luis Angel Firpo2
Aguila3
Final
FAS3
Aguila0