Sport Picks
Metropolitan FA vs Santa Lucia Prediction & H2H Stats
North & Central America
CONCACAF League 2021 
Match Events
7'
7'
Maldonado G.
42'
42'
Acuna I.
(Penalty)
58'
58'
Sub
Maldonado G. In: Coca J.
Out: Maldonado G.
AI Match Summary
Santa Lucia in this CONCACAF League 2021 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitan FA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Metropolitan FA at 1.67 per game, Santa Lucia at 0.75.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Metropolitan FA taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Lucia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Metropolitan FA Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metropolitan FA | Santa Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2021 CONCACAF League
Metropolitan FA vs Santa Lucia
1:2
Aug 4, 2021 CONCACAF League
Santa Lucia vs Metropolitan FA
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metropolitan FA Compare
Top Goalscorer Maldonado G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Santa Lucia Compare
Top Goalscorer Guay V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metropolitan FA 85 / 100
Santa Lucia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metropolitan FA Santa Lucia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metropolitan FA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Metropolitan FA scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.
Defensive concern: Santa Lucia conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Metropolitan FA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Metropolitan FA VS Santa Lucia
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Metropolitan FA
(Home) 31 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1 Delfines Del Este
28 Jul
Helenites
1 : 2 Metropolitan FA
26 Jul
Metropolitan FA
4 : 0 North Leeward
30 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1 Atletico Pantoja
27 Jul
Metropolitan FA
2 : 0 SWA Sharks
Page 1 of 3
31 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1 Delfines Del Este
26 Jul
Metropolitan FA
4 : 0 North Leeward
30 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1 Atletico Pantoja
27 Jul
Metropolitan FA
2 : 0 SWA Sharks
13 Aug
Metropolitan FA
1 : 6 Sando
Page 1 of 2
Santa Lucia
(Away) 07 May
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Deportivo Mixco
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0 Santa Lucia
26 Apr
Santa Lucia
0 : 4 Municipal
23 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0 Santa Lucia
19 Apr
Santa Lucia
2 : 1 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0 Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0 Santa Lucia
16 Apr
Comunicaciones
3 : 1 Santa Lucia
05 Apr
Coban Imperial
1 : 0 Santa Lucia
26 Mar
Xinabajul
5 : 2 Santa Lucia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Verdes 1
Santos De Guapiles 6
TBD -
Plaza Amador -
Forge FC 5
FAS 3
TBD -
Independiente -
Diriangen 1
Marathon 3
TBD -
Esteli -
Samaritaine -
Union Deportivo Universitario -
TBD -
Motagua -
Inter Moengotapoe -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimpia -
Guastatoya -
TBD -
TBD -
Alajuelense -
Santa Lucia 5
Metropolitan FA 1
TBD -
Saprissa -
Comunicaciones 4
11 Deportivo 1
TBD -
Alianza FC -
1/8-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Plaza Amador 0
Forge FC 2
Independiente 0
Marathon 3
Esteli 2
Union Deportivo Universitario 2
Motagua 3
Inter Moengotapoe 0
Olimpia 6
Guastatoya 3
Alajuelense 3
Santa Lucia 2
Saprissa 6
Comunicaciones 3
Alianza FC 1
Quarter-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Forge FC 4
Marathon 0
Motagua 4
TBD -
Guastatoya -
Saprissa 5
Comunicaciones 5
Semi-finals
Forge FC 2
Motagua 2
Guastatoya 1
Comunicaciones 3
Final
Motagua 3
Comunicaciones 6
