Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2014/2015

FC Ararat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Metropool Parnu play FC Ararat in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metropool Parnu averaged 2.55 goals scored and 3.36 conceded. FC Ararat averaged 1.61 goals scored and 3.48 conceded. In past meetings, Metropool Parnu won 0, FC Ararat won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 6, 2014 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.85 for Metropool Parnu and 4.00 for FC Ararat. This points to a Metropool Parnu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Metropool Parnu

15%

Draws

41%

FC Ararat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropool Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Metropool Parnu picked up more points recently compared to FC Ararat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.85 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 98%

Over 2.5 Goals 93%

Over 3.5 Goals 56%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Metropool Parnu Clean Sheet 10%

FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 88%

Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Metropool Parnu	FC Ararat
Matches Played	11	31
Wins	4	7
Draws	0	4
Losses	7	20
Goals Scored	2.55	1.61
Goals Conceded	3.36	3.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	8.00	4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2014 Estonian Cup

Metropool Parnu vs FC Ararat

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropool Parnu 42 / 100

FC Ararat 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Metropool Parnu FC Ararat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Metropool Parnu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +6.9%

1.15

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metropool Parnu attacking → ← attacking FC Ararat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metropool Parnu scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

FC Ararat let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Metropool Parnu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Ararat lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

8.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50