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Metropool Parnu vs Kivioli Irbis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kivioli Irbis in this Estonian Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Metropool Parnu
15%
Draws
34%
Kivioli Irbis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropool Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kivioli Irbis have won more games recently than Metropool Parnu.
  • Win probability leans Metropool Parnu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kivioli Irbis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kivioli Irbis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Metropool Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metropool Parnu Kivioli Irbis
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.55 2.06
Goals Conceded 3.36 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2012 Estonian Cup
Metropool Parnu vs Kivioli Irbis
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropool Parnu 83 / 100
Kivioli Irbis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metropool Parnu Kivioli Irbis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropool Parnu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Metropool Parnu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).

Kivioli Irbis has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Metropool Parnu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metropool Parnu VS Kivioli Irbis
2 Goals Scored 1.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Metropool Parnu

(Home)
03 Sept
Nomme Utd
8 : 0
Metropool Parnu
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4
Metropool Parnu
30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6
Metropool Parnu
06 Aug
Metropool Parnu
3 : 4
FC Ararat
16 Jul
Metropool Parnu
3 : 1
Raasiku Valla
Page 1 of 3

Kivioli Irbis

(Away)
03 Aug
Marjamaa
:
Kivioli Irbis
08 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
01 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
3 : 0
Rakvere
25 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 1
Kivioli Irbis
18 Oct
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 4
FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kalju 17
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Tallinna Kalev 12
FC KIIU 3
Otepaa 2
Ulikool Tallinn 1
Tartu SK 10 II -
Leisi -
Pirita 0
Rapla 8
Saku Sporting 3
FC Balteco 1
Pokkeriprod 3
Soccernet 2
Levadia 12
Toompea 1994 0
Ajax Lasnamae II 2
Velldoris 5
Kalju III 2
Akhtamar 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Kose 3
Kaitseliit II 2
TBD -
Nomme Utd -
Helios 0
Ambla 4
Ganvix Turi 3
JK Retro 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 1
Viljandi 2
Jogeva 3
Igiliikur 1
Quattromed II -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
Haiba 4
Legion 3
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 8
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
JK Keskerakond 1
FCI Tallinn 14
Trummi 2
JK Visadus 6
Twister Tallinn 1
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 10
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi JK 9
Raasiku Joker 0
Lasnamae -
SK Taaksi -
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tulevik 3
Tammeka Tartu 4
Johvi Phoenix 0
Narva -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III 0
Saue JK Laagri 3
Kadakas 3
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saaremaa -
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Maccabi 4
TBD -
Taebla -
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Quattromed 9
Look Tartu 0
Metropool Parnu 1
Kivioli Irbis 7
Dinamo Tallinn 2
Sorve 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Kaitseliit 3
Tammeka Tartu II -
Rada Kuusalu -
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Puuma 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
JK Luunja 2
Rummu Dunamo 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
Kardla 3
Tabasalu 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Lihula JK 0
PSK Alexela 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Jarva-Jaani 3
Imavere Forss 2
Pubi Trehv -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 1
Voru 3
Elva -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 1
Elva 4
Koeru -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 3
FCI Tallinn II 1
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Tartu SK 10 5
Kristiine 2
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 2
Lelle 0
Flora 12
Loo JK 0
1/32-finals
Kalju 4
Tallinna Kalev 0
Otepaa 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Rapla 4
Saku Sporting 3
Pokkeriprod 0
Levadia 18
Velldoris 2
Kalju III 0
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
FC Lootos Polva 3
Kose 2
Nomme Utd 1
Ambla 1
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 6
Jogeva 1
Quattromed II 0
Rakvere 8
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Haiba 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Flora Tallinn U21 6
FCI Tallinn 1
JK Visadus 0
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 3
Viimsi JK 2
Lasnamae 0
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Narva 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kadakas 1
Saaremaa 2
Maccabi 3
Taebla 1
Olympic Tallinn 1
Quattromed 5
Kivioli Irbis 5
Dinamo Tallinn 0
Kaitseliit 2
Rada Kuusalu 3
Puuma 1
Valga Warrior 0
Keila JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Rummu Dunamo 1
Kardla 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Jarva-Jaani 0
Pubi Trehv 1
Voru 2
Elva 6
Tartu JK Welco 1
Koeru 1
Pohja-Sakala 4
Tartu SK 10 4
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 0
Flora 6
1/16-finals
Kalju 3
Tartu SK 10 II 0
Rapla 1
Levadia 17
Velldoris 3
FC Lootos Polva 2
Kose 2
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 5
FC Ararat 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Narva -
Saaremaa -
Maccabi 2
Quattromed 9
Kivioli Irbis -
Rada Kuusalu -
Puuma 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Navi Vutiselts 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Voru 1
Elva 2
Pohja-Sakala 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Flora 9
1/8-finals
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
Velldoris 1
Ganvix Turi 8
Viljandi 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Narva 7
Quattromed 1
Kivioli Irbis 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Voru 2
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Kalju 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Viljandi -
Tammeka Tartu -
Narva 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 6
Semi-finals
Kalju 5
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 0
Flora 3
Final
Kalju 1
Flora 3