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Metropool Parnu vs Narva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

Narva in this Estonian Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Metropool Parnu
20%
Draws
15%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metropool Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva lately — more wins on the board than Metropool Parnu.
  • Model gives Metropool Parnu a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Narva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Metropool Parnu Clean Sheet 20%
Narva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metropool Parnu Narva
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.55 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.36 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2009 Estonian Cup
Metropool Parnu vs Narva
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropool Parnu 85 / 100
Narva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metropool Parnu Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropool Parnu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Metropool Parnu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).

Narva has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Metropool Parnu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Narva
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metropool Parnu

(Home)
03 Sept
Nomme Utd
8 : 0
Metropool Parnu
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4
Metropool Parnu
30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6
Metropool Parnu
06 Aug
Metropool Parnu
3 : 4
FC Ararat
16 Jul
Metropool Parnu
3 : 1
Raasiku Valla
Page 1 of 3

Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora 4
Kuressaare 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 3
Valga Warrior 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Nomme Utd 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Voru 2
Ganvix Turi 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Narva 0
Levadia 3
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Kalju 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Sillamae Kalev 0
Levadia 1
Semi-finals
Flora 4
Tammeka Tartu 1
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 3