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MetroStars vs Campbelltown City

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia TK Shutter Reserve, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Carle A.
19' Event
Gow H.
45' Event
Niyonkuru D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between MetroStars and Campbelltown City finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MetroStars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MetroStars
20%
Draws
40%
Campbelltown City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MetroStars come out ahead of Campbelltown City on wins alone.
  • MetroStars are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors MetroStars here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
MetroStars Clean Sheet 20%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MetroStars Campbelltown City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs Campbelltown City
4:0
Feb 28, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs MetroStars
2:3
May 30, 2025 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs Campbelltown City
4:0
Feb 21, 2025 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs MetroStars
0:3
Sep 6, 2024 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs Campbelltown City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MetroStars Compare

Top Goalscorer Gow H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carle A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Campbelltown City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MetroStars 40 / 100
Campbelltown City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MetroStars Campbelltown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MetroStars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MetroStars scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Campbelltown City conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

MetroStars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MetroStars VS Campbelltown City
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MetroStars

(Home)
05 Sept
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 0
MetroStars
29 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 2
West Torrens Birkalla
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
Page 1 of 7

Campbelltown City

(Away)
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3
Campbelltown City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4
Adelaide City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)