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Metz vs Guingamp

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz
Metz Logo

Metz

2 - 1
FT
Guingamp Logo

Guingamp

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Deminguet J.
30' Event
Fall P. M.
Penalty Missed
51' Event
Demouchy A.
Assist: Hemia A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Metz in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Metz
15%
Draws
7%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Guingamp have won more games recently than Metz.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Metz taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Metz Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz Guingamp
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Metz vs Guingamp
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Metz
0:3
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 2
Metz vs Guingamp
1:0
May 20, 2023 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Metz
1:1
Sep 12, 2022 Ligue 2
Metz vs Guingamp
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metz Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall P. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abuashvili G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Demouchy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz 95 / 100
Guingamp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Metz found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Guingamp let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Metz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metz VS Guingamp
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz

(Home)
01 Aug
Metz
1 : 3
Kaiserslautern
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1
Sittard
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
17 Jul
Metz
6 : 0
RFC Seraing
11 Jul
Metz
2 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
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Guingamp

(Away)
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3
Guingamp
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenoble 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Metz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nancy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nantes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 St Etienne 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Boulogne 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Clermont 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Dijon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Guingamp 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Montpellier 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Reims 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Laval 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Pau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Rodez 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Annecy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sochaux 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Dunkerque 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Red Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)