Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Issoufou Y.
8'
8'
Savanier T.
(Penalty)
21'
21'
Issoufou Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montpellier come out ahead of Metz on wins alone.
- Model gives Metz a 46% chance of winning this.
- Montpellier arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Montpellier, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Montpellier have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Metz Clean Sheet 11%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metz | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Coupe de France
Metz vs Montpellier
0:4
Feb 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Metz
3:0
Dec 17, 2023 Ligue 1
Metz vs Montpellier
0:1
May 1, 2022 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Metz
2:2
Dec 1, 2021 Ligue 1
Metz vs Montpellier
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metz Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Montpellier Compare
Top Goalscorer Issoufou Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tchato E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metz 65 / 100
Montpellier 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metz Montpellier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Metz's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Montpellier let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Metz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Metz VS Montpellier
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Metz
(Home) 08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1 Guingamp
01 Aug
Metz
1 : 3 Kaiserslautern
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1 Sittard
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1 Sochaux
17 Jul
Metz
6 : 0 RFC Seraing
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1 Guingamp
01 Aug
Metz
1 : 3 Kaiserslautern
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1 Sittard
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1 Sochaux
17 Jul
Metz
6 : 0 RFC Seraing
Page 1 of 4
Montpellier
(Away) 08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1 Dijon
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2 Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1 Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4 Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2 Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1 Montpellier
09 May
Red Star
1 : 1 Montpellier
24 Apr
Amiens SC
0 : 2 Montpellier
10 Apr
Annecy
0 : 0 Montpellier
20 Mar
Pau
0 : 0 Montpellier
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Saint-Brice Courcelles 1
FC Bogny 2
Camon 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Thonon-Evian 0
FC Rhone Vallees 2
RC Grasse 1
Seyssinet 1
Aubagne FC 0
SS Allinges 1
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Colomiers 0
Trelissac 0
Pau 2
Stade Quimperlois 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 9
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Guingamp 2
Le Cellier Mauves 0
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 1
Dominicaine 0
Espoir 1
Eveil 0
Challans 0
Pontivy 2
Sable 0
Saint-Malo 1
US Chateau-Malo 0
Bastia 6
Olympique Marcquois 5
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
Longuenesse 0
FC Bondues 2
Touraine 2
Epernay 1
Aizenay 0
Troyes 3
Villars-l'Isle 1
Sarre Union 2
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 3
Steenvoorde 2
Chambly 1
Loon Plage 1
Bethune 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
APM Metz 3
Fleury-Merogis 2
Cambrai 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 4
Yvetot 2
ASPTT Caen 1
Bayeux 3
Caen 2
Le Poinconnet 0
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 2
Clermont 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mauguio Carnon 0
Selongey 1
Atlas Paillade 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Cormontreuil 5
Porto Portugais 2
Us Premontre Saint Gobain 0
Chantilly 3
Wittenheim 2
Freyming 3
Besancon RC 4
Thionville 0
Pen Hir 1
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Pledran 0
Plabennec 2
Orvault 1
Les Herbiers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Pierrelatte 0
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Carnoux F.C. 5
Pirae 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 1
Bandrele 0
Granville 3
Dinan 1
Gouzon Avenir 1
Chauvigny 5
Lapalisse 1
Stade Poitevin 2
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auby 0
Amiens SC 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avranches 1
Paris 13 Atletico 0
SA Beaumont 4
Aubervilliers 7
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ES Cappelle 2
Abbeville 3
Boulogne 2
Dunkerque 3
Saint-Jean 1
Angouleme CFC 0
Orleans 3
Bayonne 0
JA Drancy 0
Beauvais 1
Saint-Amand 0
Dieppe 3
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Montreal-la-Cluse 0
FC Chalon 3
ASPTT Dijon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
FC 2 Rives 82 0
Mazeres 1
EBBE 0
Bordeaux 1
IC Croix 3
Racing Club de France 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Le Geldar 2
Avion 0
Torcy 2
OCPAM 0
Reims 1
Etoile Bobigny 1
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Ivry 1
Le Mans 2
Saint-Meziery 1
Perigny 2
UES Montmorillon 0
Beaucouze 1
Cannes 1
Annecy 2
Olympique de Villefontaine 0
Grenoble 3
Sarreguemines 5
Furiani Agliani 3
GSA Tomblaine 0
Nancy 5
Seignosse Capbreton 2
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Bassin d'Arcachon 4
Blagnac 1
Andrezieux 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Savigneux Montbrison 3
Feurs 5
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moulien 2
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 3
Quevilly 2
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fontenay 1
Chamalieres 0
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chateauroux 2
Paris FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mutzig 0
Raon L Etape 3
Magenta 0
Mulhouse 3
Les Bleuets 0
Concarneau 3
St. Renan 0
Stade Briochin 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nord Lozere 4
Ecotay Moingt 5
Quetigny 1
St Etienne 3
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Biesheim 3
Forbach 0
Red Star 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Auch 1
Canet Roussillon 4
Lavaur 1
Rodez 3
Montceau 2
L'Etrat La Tour 1
Agde 0
Montpellier 2
1/64-finals
FC Bogny 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
FC Rhone Vallees 0
Seyssinet 0
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Pau 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Guingamp 4
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 0
Espoir 0
Pontivy 4
Saint-Malo 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 2
FC Bondues 0
Touraine 0
Troyes 2
Sarre Union 0
Sochaux 6
Steenvoorde 0
Bethune 1
Lens -
TBD -
APM Metz 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Yvetot 0
Bayeux 1
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Selongey 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Cormontreuil 1
Chantilly 2
Freyming 1
Besancon RC 0
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Plabennec 1
Les Herbiers 2
TBD -
Angers -
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Carnoux F.C. 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 2
Granville 1
Chauvigny 4
Stade Poitevin 3
Le Havre -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Amiens SC 4
Brest -
TBD -
Avranches 2
Aubervilliers 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Abbeville 0
Dunkerque 5
Saint-Jean 1
Orleans 2
Beauvais 1
Dieppe 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
FC Chalon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Mazeres 3
Bordeaux 4
IC Croix 2
Le Geldar 1
Torcy 1
Reims 5
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Le Mans 3
Perigny 3
Beaucouze 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 2
Sarreguemines 3
Nancy 4
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Feurs 1
Lorient -
TBD -
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 2
PSG -
TBD -
Fontenay 4
Chateauroux 1
Paris FC -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 3
Mulhouse 2
Concarneau 1
Stade Briochin 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
Ecotay Moingt 1
St Etienne 11
Biesheim 2
Red Star 1
TBD -
Metz -
Canet Roussillon 1
Rodez 0
Montceau 0
Montpellier 2
1/32-finals
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Lille 1
Lyon 3
Saint-Cyr Collonges 0
Istres 1
SA Merignac 0
Guingamp 0
Laval 1
Pontivy 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 1
Troyes 3
Sochaux 4
Bethune 2
Lens 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Bayeux 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Marseille 6
Bourg Peronnas 0
Chantilly 3
Freyming 0
Les Sables 0
Rennes 3
Les Herbiers 0
Angers 1
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Chauvigny 1
Le Havre 0
Amiens SC 2
Brest 1
Avranches 2
Strasbourg 2
Dunkerque 1
Orleans 3
Dieppe 0
Auxerre 1
Monaco 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Bordeaux 0
IC Croix 0
Reims 4
Le Mans 2
Perigny 1
Grenoble 1
Nancy 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 7
AS Le Gosier 0
PSG 4
Fontenay 0
Paris FC 3
Raon L Etape 0
Concarneau 3
Nantes 5
Nice 2
St Etienne 1
Biesheim 0
Metz 3
Canet Roussillon 0
Montpellier 1
1/16-finals
Lille 1
Lyon 2
Istres 0
Laval 2
Bastia 0
Troyes 2
Sochaux 0
Lens 3
Bayeux 0
Marseille 9
Chantilly 1
Rennes 3
Angers 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Amiens SC 4
Avranches 0
Strasbourg 6
Orleans 1
Monaco 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Reims 1
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 3
PSG 0
Paris FC 1
Nantes 1
Nice 2
Metz 0
Montpellier 4
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Laval 0
Troyes 2
Lens 4
Marseille 3
Rennes 0
Toulouse 1
Amiens SC 0
Strasbourg 3
Monaco 1
Reims 3
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Paris FC 0
Nice 3
Montpellier 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 2
Lens 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 3
Strasbourg 2
Reims 1
Lorient 0
Nice 1
Semi-finals
Lens 4
Toulouse 1
Strasbourg 0
Nice 2
Final
Lens 3
Nice 1
