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Metz W vs Auxerre W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Metz W Logo

Metz W

3 - 2
FT
Auxerre W Logo

Auxerre W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Metz W and Auxerre W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Metz W
15%
Draws
48%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Metz W haven't matched Auxerre W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Auxerre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
2:4
May 2, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
3:2
Jan 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Metz W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 30 / 100
Auxerre W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Auxerre W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Metz W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Auxerre W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre W

(Away)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)