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Metz W vs Auxerre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Metz W
15%
Draws
48%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auxerre W come out ahead of Metz W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Metz W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Auxerre W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Metz W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Auxerre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
2:4
May 2, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
3:2
Jan 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Metz W
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Metz W vs Auxerre W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 34 / 100
Auxerre W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Defensive concern: Auxerre W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Metz W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Auxerre W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
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Auxerre W

(Away)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)