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Metz W vs Le Mans W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ribeyra A.
29' Event
Fodil M.
50' Event
Petitjean C.

AI Match Summary

Metz W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Metz W
20%
Draws
47%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans W have won more games recently than Metz W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Le Mans W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Le Mans W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Mans W
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Mans W
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Metz W
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Metz W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeyra A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fodil M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Le Mans W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 14 / 100
Le Mans W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Metz W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Le Mans W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Le Mans W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)