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Metz W vs Val d'Orge W

France France

Division 2 Women 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metz W play Val d'Orge W in the Division 2 Women 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metz W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Val d'Orge W averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Metz W won 4, Val d'Orge W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2016 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Metz W and 1.44 for Val d'Orge W. This points to a Val d'Orge W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Metz W
18%
Draws
46%
Val d'Orge W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Val d'Orge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Metz W picked up more points recently compared to Val d'Orge W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Metz W Clean Sheet 16%
Val d'Orge W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Val d'Orge W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.55 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Val d'Orge W
1:1
Feb 14, 2016 Coupe de France Women
Val d'Orge W vs Metz W
1:2
Dec 6, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
Val d'Orge W vs Metz W
1:4
May 25, 2014 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Val d'Orge W
4:0
Dec 8, 2013 Seconde Ligue Women
Val d'Orge W vs Metz W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 36 / 100
Val d'Orge W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Val d'Orge W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Val d'Orge W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metz W attacking → ← attacking Val d'Orge W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Val d'Orge W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Metz W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Val d'Orge W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 64
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metz W22174174:1455
2Arras W22161541:1749
3Val d'Orge W22142655:2744
4Vendenheim W22125547:1741
5Reims W22106641:3036
6Lille W22113848:2736
7Nancy W2297645:2734
8Henin W2267928:2825
9Saint-Denis W22611525:6219
10Lillers W22451327:4717
11Rouvroy W22271312:4813
12Mars Bischheim W22022012:1112
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bordeaux W22174174:1455
2Yzeure Allier W22174155:1255
3Saint-Malo W22135451:1944
4Rouen W22125547:2641
5Lorient W22106641:3936
6Le Mans W22103947:3333
7Angers W221021040:3632
8Issy W2294953:4131
9Merignac W22551234:4320
10Tremblay FC W22441428:4916
11Conde-sur-Noireau W22231714:709
12Quimper W2201216:1081
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marseille W22202066:1462
2Dijon W22161557:1649
3Toulouse W22151660:2546
4Grenoble W22135469:1744
5Aurillac W22115652:3538
6Le Puy W22831130:4227
7Monteux W22731227:5424
8Veore Montoison W22721320:3423
9Nivolas W22561120:5221
10FAMF Marseille W22621428:5920
11Macon W22361325:6015
12Nivolet W22221815:618