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Stadium Background

Meuselwitz vs Erfurt

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lucas Cini
37' Event
Wolf M.
76' Event
Lucas Cini

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Meuselwitz and Erfurt finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Meuselwitz
20%
Draws
40%
Erfurt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Erfurt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Erfurt taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Meuselwitz Clean Sheet 16%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meuselwitz Erfurt
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Erfurt
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Meuselwitz
3:3
Mar 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Meuselwitz
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Erfurt
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Erfurt
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meuselwitz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Cini
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wolf M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meuselwitz 11 / 100
Erfurt 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meuselwitz Erfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meuselwitz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Meuselwitz scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Erfurt conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Meuselwitz VS Erfurt
1.57 Goals Scored 2.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Meuselwitz

(Home)
11 Sept
Sandersdorf
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
30 Aug
Meuselwitz
3 : 2
SSC Weissenfels
16 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
09 Aug
Meuselwitz
2 : 0
Glauchau
25 Jul
Meuselwitz
3 : 3
Fulda-Lehnerz
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Erfurt

(Away)
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
15 Aug
Erfurt
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)