Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gollnack S.
56' Event
Hansch F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Meuselwitz
15%
Draws
0%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meuselwitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Luckenwalde haven't matched Meuselwitz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Meuselwitz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Meuselwitz Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meuselwitz Luckenwalde
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde
0:1
Jul 26, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
2:2
Feb 11, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meuselwitz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gollnack S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meuselwitz 85 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meuselwitz Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meuselwitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luckenwalde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Meuselwitz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Luckenwalde registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Meuselwitz's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Meuselwitz VS Luckenwalde
2.29 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Meuselwitz

(Home)
26 Sept
Meuselwitz
1 : 1
Halberstadt
18 Sept
1.FC Frankfurt
2 : 5
Meuselwitz
11 Sept
Sandersdorf
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
30 Aug
Meuselwitz
3 : 2
SSC Weissenfels
16 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
Page 1 of 6

Luckenwalde

(Away)
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)