Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gollnack S.
56' Event
Hansch F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Meuselwitz
30%
Draws
23%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Meuselwitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Luckenwalde haven't matched Meuselwitz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Meuselwitz's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Meuselwitz Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meuselwitz Luckenwalde
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde
0:1
Jul 26, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
2:2
Feb 11, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meuselwitz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gollnack S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meuselwitz 67 / 100
Luckenwalde 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meuselwitz Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meuselwitz's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Luckenwalde has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Meuselwitz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meuselwitz VS Luckenwalde
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Meuselwitz

(Home)
09 Aug
Meuselwitz
2 : 0
Glauchau
25 Jul
Meuselwitz
3 : 3
Fulda-Lehnerz
11 Jul
Meuselwitz
1 : 0
BFC Preussen
03 Jul
Meuselwitz
0 : 3
Aue
16 May
Meuselwitz
1 : 1
Luckenwalde
Page 1 of 6

Luckenwalde

(Away)
08 Aug
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
SV Tasmania Berlin
04 Aug
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Luckenwalde
01 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 0
Luckenwalde
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
17 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 1
Halberstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)