Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U17 vs El Salvador U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17 2019
Mexico U17 Logo

Mexico U17

5 - 1
FT
El Salvador U17 Logo

El Salvador U17

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Luna I.
22' Event
Gonzalez B.
Assist: Pizzuto E.
42' Event
Rodriguez R.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Mexico U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Mexico U17
15%
Draws
31%
El Salvador U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mexico U17 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Mexico U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Mexico U17 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%
El Salvador U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 El Salvador U17
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.52 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs El Salvador U17
3:0
May 12, 2019 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs El Salvador U17
5:1
Apr 23, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs El Salvador U17
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

El Salvador U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 83 / 100
El Salvador U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 El Salvador U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

El Salvador U17 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Mexico U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 VS El Salvador U17
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
Page 1 of 7

El Salvador U17

(Away)
12 Feb
El Salvador U17
5 : 1
Curacao U17
09 Feb
Cuba U17
2 : 1
El Salvador U17
07 Feb
El Salvador U17
3 : 1
Belize U17
10 Nov
El Salvador U17
0 : 7
Germany U17
07 Nov
El Salvador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
USA U17 8
Guadeloupe U17 0
Guatemala U17 0
Panama U17 2
Costa Rica U17 2
Nicaragua U17 1
Curacao U17 0
Canada U17 4
Haiti U17 2
Dominican Republic U17 0
Trinidad & Tobago U17 1
Honduras U17 4
El Salvador U17 2
Jamaica U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 1
Mexico U17 2
Quarter-finals
USA U17 3
Panama U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Canada U17 2
Haiti U17 2
Honduras U17 1
El Salvador U17 1
Mexico U17 5
Semi-finals
USA U17 4
Canada U17 0
Haiti U17 0
Mexico U17 1
Final
USA U17 1
Mexico U17 2