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Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Farias L.
51' Event
Gamboa L.
66' Event
Gamboa L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Mexico U17 and Guatemala U17 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mexico U17
15%
Draws
36%
Guatemala U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U17 come out ahead of Guatemala U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U17 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Guatemala U17 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 Guatemala U17
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.27 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17
5:0
Feb 14, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 vs Mexico U17
0:2
Apr 15, 2013 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17
2:0
Apr 24, 2009 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Guatemala U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Farias L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guatemala U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 74 / 100
Guatemala U17 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 Guatemala U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U17 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Guatemala U17 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mexico U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 VS Guatemala U17
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
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Guatemala U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 1
Guatemala U17
08 Feb
Grenada U17
0 : 7
Guatemala U17
06 Feb
Guatemala U17
2 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda U17
17 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 0
Guatemala U17
14 Feb
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
0 : 5
Guatemala U17
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