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Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024
Mexico U17 W Logo

Mexico U17 W

Fri, Feb 9, 2024
2 - 1
09:00 PM
Canada U17 W Logo

Canada U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Montes C.
75' Event
Chukwu A.
101' Event
Aguilar V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Mexico U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mexico U17 W
30%
Draws
33%
Canada U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U17 W haven't matched Canada U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17 W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Canada U17 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17 W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mexico U17 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Canada U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 W Canada U17 W
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 20 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.57 3.44
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Canada U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
2:1
Sep 3, 2022 Friendly International Women
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
4:1
Nov 28, 2018 World Cup Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
1:0
Jun 10, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Canada U17 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilar V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Canada U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 W 34 / 100
Canada U17 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 W Canada U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico U17 W scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Recent resilience: Mexico U17 W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Canada U17 W conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 W VS Canada U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 3.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17 W

(Home)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
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Canada U17 W

(Away)
19 Aug
USA U17 W
4 : 1
Canada U17 W
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
14 Aug
Chile U17 W
0 : 3
Canada U17 W
22 Mar
Canada U17 W
5 : 0
El Salvador U17 W
19 Mar
Dominican Republic U17 W
0 : 7
Canada U17 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U17 W 2
Canada U17 W 1
USA U17 W 7
Haiti U17 W 1
Final
Mexico U17 W 0
USA U17 W 4
Canada U17 W 4
Haiti U17 W 1