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Mexico U20 vs North Korea U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup U20 2011 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Ri Yong-Chol
45' Event
Ri Yong-Chol
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Pulido A. In: Torres E.
Out: Pulido A.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U20 in this World Cup U20 2011 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mexico U20
15%
Draws
42%
North Korea U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U20 lately — more wins on the board than North Korea U20.
  • Model gives Mexico U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Mexico U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 68%
North Korea U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 North Korea U20
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2011 World Cup U20
Mexico U20 vs North Korea U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guarch T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Buen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

North Korea U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 46 / 100
North Korea U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 North Korea U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U20's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mexico U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U20 let in goals in 58% of their last 19 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 VS North Korea U20
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20

(Home)
04 Oct
Brazil U20
4 : 0
Mexico U20
30 Sept
Spain U20
2 : 0
Mexico U20
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
Page 1 of 7

North Korea U20

(Away)
06 Sept
North Korea U20
4 : 0
Palestine U20
03 Sept
North Korea U20
2 : 1
Iran U20
31 Aug
Vietnam U20
0 : 3
North Korea U20
19 Feb
Saudi Arabia U20
2 : 1
North Korea U20
16 Feb
North Korea U20
1 : 2
Jordan U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 France U20 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 South Korea U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Mali U20 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U20 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Cameroon U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 New Zealand U20 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Uruguay U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Ecuador U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Costa Rica U20 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Australia U20 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U20 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 1:11 3
4 Croatia U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Egypt U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Austria U20 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Mexico U20 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
3 England U20 3 0 3 0 0:0 3
4 North Korea U20 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - World Cup U20 2011 (Play Offs)