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Mexico U20 W vs Canada U20 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U20 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Mexico U20 W Logo

Mexico U20 W

Sun, Jun 8, 2025
2 - 3
05:30 PM
Canada U20 W Logo

Canada U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Gibson S.
61' Event
Saldivar M.
(Penalty)
90'
Medina Martinez M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mexico U20 W
20%
Draws
51%
Canada U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canada U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canada U20 W come out ahead of Mexico U20 W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Canada U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U20 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mexico U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Canada U20 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 W Canada U20 W
Matches Played 41 34
Wins 19 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 2.1 3.94
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Mexico U20 W vs Canada U20 W
2:3
Jun 2, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Mexico U20 W vs Canada U20 W
4:2
Jun 2, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Mexico U20 W vs Canada U20 W
2:1
Mar 10, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Canada U20 W vs Mexico U20 W
0:1
Jan 26, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Canada U20 W vs Mexico U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Saldivar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Canada U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 W 30 / 100
Canada U20 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 W Canada U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico U20 W scored in 80% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Canada U20 W conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Mexico U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 W VS Canada U20 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20 W

(Home)
11 Sept
Argentina U20 W
3 : 2
Mexico U20 W
08 Sept
Poland U20 W
2 : 1
Mexico U20 W
05 Sept
Mexico U20 W
2 : 2
Benin U20 W
29 Aug
Ghana U20 W
1 : 2
Mexico U20 W
09 Jun
Poland U20 W
2 : 0
Mexico U20 W
Page 1 of 9

Canada U20 W

(Away)
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 3
Canada U20 W
11 Sept
Tanzania U20 W
0 : 6
Canada U20 W
08 Sept
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
Canada U20 W
05 Sept
Canada U20 W
1 : 1
England U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U20 W 4
Costa Rica U20 W 0
USA U20 W 0
Canada U20 W 1
Final
Mexico U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 3