Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U21 vs Cuba U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2014
Thu, Nov 27, 2014
2 - 1
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Mexico U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
32%
Cuba U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuba U21 haven't matched Mexico U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mexico U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U21 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Cuba U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Cuba U21
Matches Played 38 13
Wins 22 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.87 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Cuba U21
2:1
Jul 15, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Cuba U21 vs Mexico U21
0:1
Aug 13, 1998 Central American & Caribbean Games
Cuba U21 vs Mexico U21
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 85 / 100
Cuba U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Cuba U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21 scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

Cuba U21 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 13 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Mexico U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Cuba U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 8

Cuba U21

(Away)
03 Aug
Panama U21
3 : 0
Cuba U21
01 Aug
Colombia U21
1 : 0
Cuba U21
30 Jul
Cuba U21
1 : 0
Costa Rica U21
28 Nov
Cuba U21
3 : 1
Honduras U21
27 Nov
Mexico U21
2 : 1
Cuba U21
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U21 2
Cuba U21 1
Venezuela U21 1
Honduras U21 0
Final
Mexico U21 4
Venezuela U21 1
Cuba U21 3
Honduras U21 1