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Mexico U21 vs El Salvador U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Romero A.
74' Event
Marquez M.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 game between Mexico U21 and El Salvador U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Salvador U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
20%
El Salvador U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 20%
El Salvador U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 El Salvador U21
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs El Salvador U21
0:1
Nov 21, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs El Salvador U21
2:0
Dec 7, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
El Salvador U21 vs Mexico U21
2:1
Aug 9, 1998 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs El Salvador U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

El Salvador U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 85 / 100
El Salvador U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 El Salvador U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: El Salvador U21 conceded in 67% of 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS El Salvador U21
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 7

El Salvador U21

(Away)
25 Jul
Venezuela U21
3 : 0
El Salvador U21
24 Jul
Mexico U21
0 : 1
El Salvador U21
21 Jul
El Salvador U21
0 : 1
Haiti U21
22 Nov
El Salvador U21
0 : 2
Honduras U21
21 Nov
Mexico U21
2 : 0
El Salvador U21
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Honduras U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Costa Rica U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Trinidad & Tobago U21 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela U21 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Haiti U21 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 El Salvador U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Mexico U21 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)