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Mexico U21 vs Guatemala U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hernandez M.
Own Goal
14' Event
Jimenez T.
Assist: Serrato J.
47' Event
Jimenez T.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U21 in this Central American & Caribbean Games matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
0%
Guatemala U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U21 lately — more wins on the board than Guatemala U21.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Guatemala U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Guatemala U21
Matches Played 39 9
Wins 23 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.82 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Guatemala U21
4:1
Dec 1, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Guatemala U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Guatemala U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 95 / 100
Guatemala U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Guatemala U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico U21 scored in 85% of their last 39 outings.

Guatemala U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Guatemala U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Guatemala U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 8

Guatemala U21

(Away)
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Guatemala U21
30 Jul
Guatemala U21
0 : 1
Dominican Republic U21
01 Dec
Mexico U21
2 : 1
Guatemala U21
26 Nov
Haiti U21
3 : 2
Guatemala U21
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Venezuela U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Dominican Republic U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Guatemala U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Panama U21 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Cuba U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Costa Rica U21 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games (Play Offs)