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Mexico U23 vs Dominican Republic U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games 2020 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rodriguez C.
Assist: Alvarado R.
28'
Reyes E.
39'
Angulo J.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U23 in this Olympic Games 2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mexico U23
15%
Draws
21%
Dominican Republic U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U23 have won more games recently than Dominican Republic U23.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U23 taking it.
  • Regular Olympic Games 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Dominican Republic U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Dominican Republic U23
Matches Played 33 16
Wins 18 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.79 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2023 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
0:0
Mar 19, 2021 Olympic Games
Mexico U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordova S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Dominican Republic U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 95 / 100
Dominican Republic U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Dominican Republic U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Dominican Republic U23 conceded in 81% of 16 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Mexico U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U23 VS Dominican Republic U23
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U23

(Home)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
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Dominican Republic U23

(Away)
20 Feb
Dominican Republic U23
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
11 Jul
France U23
7 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
26 Mar
Paraguay U23
1 : 2
Dominican Republic U23
23 Mar
Paraguay U23
2 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U23 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 USA U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Costa Rica U23 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Dominican Republic U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U23 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
2 Canada U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 El Salvador U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Haiti U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Play Offs)