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Stadium Background

Mexico U23 vs Japan U19

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Ambriz F.
21' Event
Kanda S.
Assist: Yukutomo T.
46'
Sub
Kanda H. In: Nakajima Y.
Out: Kanda H.

AI Match Summary

Japan U19 in this Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mexico U23
15%
Draws
34%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U23 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U19.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U23 taking it.
  • Mexico U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Japan U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.69 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Mexico U23 vs Japan U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arciga R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanda S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shiogai K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 38 / 100
Japan U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Japan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Japan U19 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mexico U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U23 VS Japan U19
1.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U23

(Home)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 6

Japan U19

(Away)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Mexico U23 1
Japan U19 3
Saudi Arabia U23 1
Panama U23 2
South Korea U21 2
Indonesia U20 1