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Mexico vs CD Mostoles

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Salazar G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Mexico and CD Mostoles finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mexico
6%
Draws
4%
CD Mostoles
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mexico haven't matched CD Mostoles's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mexico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico CD Mostoles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Mostoles
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Mexico
2:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Mexico
1:1
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Mexico
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Mostoles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 95 / 100
CD Mostoles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico CD Mostoles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Mostoles conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Mexico found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Mexico remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS CD Mostoles
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

CD Mostoles

(Away)
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0
CD Mostoles
19 Apr
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)