Sport Picks
Mexico vs South Africa
World
World Championship 2026 Estadio Banorte, Mexico City 
Match Events
9'
9'
Quinones J.
Assist: Lira E.
17'
17'
Mokoena T.
23'
23'
Gutierrez B.
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Mexico and South Africa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- South Africa haven't matched Mexico's recent run of results.
- Model gives Mexico a 47% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mexico | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2026 World Championship
Mexico vs South Africa
2:0
Jun 11, 2010 World Championship
South Africa vs Mexico
1:1
Jul 9, 2005 Gold Cup
South Africa vs Mexico
2:1
Jun 7, 2000 Friendly International
Mexico vs South Africa
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jimenez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
South Africa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mexico 59 / 100
South Africa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mexico South Africa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mexico found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: South Africa conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Mexico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mexico VS South Africa
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mexico
(Home) 27 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1 Colombia
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3 England
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0 Ecuador
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3 Mexico
19 Jun
Mexico
1 : 0 South Korea
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1 Colombia
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3 England
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0 Ecuador
19 Jun
Mexico
1 : 0 South Korea
11 Jun
Mexico
2 : 0 South Africa
Page 1 of 5
South Africa
(Away) 26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1 Guinea
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1 Canada
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0 South Korea
18 Jun
Czech Republic
1 : 1 South Africa
11 Jun
Mexico
2 : 0 South Africa
Page 1 of 6
18 Jun
Czech Republic
1 : 1 South Africa
11 Jun
Mexico
2 : 0 South Africa
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1 South Africa
29 Dec
Zimbabwe
2 : 3 South Africa
26 Dec
Egypt
1 : 0 South Africa
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | D.R. Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
