Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mezzolara vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mancini S.
57' Event
Tirelli M.
87' Event
Sabbatani A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Mezzolara and Ravenna finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mezzolara
20%
Draws
61%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ravenna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ravenna a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 25%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Ravenna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.69 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ravenna
0:4
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Mezzolara
4:1
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ravenna
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Mezzolara
2:3
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Mezzolara
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mezzolara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tirelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 10 / 100
Ravenna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Mezzolara scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Ravenna let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mezzolara remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS Ravenna
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0
Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6

Ravenna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1
Forli FC
29 Aug
Ravenna
3 : 1
Latina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)