Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mezzolara vs Ribelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mezzolara
35%
Draws
26%
Ribelle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mezzolara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ribelle have won more games recently than Mezzolara.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 19%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Ribelle
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 12 13
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.65 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ribelle
0:0
Nov 13, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Mezzolara
0:0
Feb 10, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Mezzolara
1:0
Oct 10, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ribelle
1:1
Feb 15, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Ribelle
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 31 / 100
Ribelle 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Ribelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribelle let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Mezzolara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mezzolara found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
Page 1 of 7

Ribelle

(Away)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)