Sport Picks
Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
45'
45'
Mazzetti G.
76'
76'
Mazia A.
83'
83'
De Pace P.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between Mezzolara and Sasso Marconi finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sasso Marconi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
27%
/ Low Confidence
- Sasso Marconi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Mezzolara are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 68%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mezzolara | Sasso Marconi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi
2:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi
2:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Mezzolara
0:1
Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Mezzolara
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mezzolara Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazzetti G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Lieto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sasso Marconi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Pace P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mezzolara 68 / 100
Sasso Marconi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mezzolara Sasso Marconi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sasso Marconi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Mezzolara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Mezzolara scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Mezzolara VS Sasso Marconi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mezzolara
(Home) 18 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Mezzolara
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Grassina
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 3
Sasso Marconi
(Away) 18 Oct
Sasso Marconi
2 : 0 Lucchese
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2 Sasso Marconi
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 5 | Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | SCD Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:17 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
