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Mezzolara vs Savignanese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 19, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mezzolara host Savignanese in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mezzolara at 0.81 goals for, 1.42 against; Savignanese at 0.9 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Mezzolara have won 2 to Savignanese's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.38, favoring Mezzolara. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mezzolara
35%
Draws
30%
Savignanese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mezzolara have won more games recently than Savignanese.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mezzolara have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 17%
Savignanese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Savignanese
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Savignanese
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Savignanese vs Mezzolara
1:2
Oct 9, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Mezzolara vs Savignanese
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 31 / 100
Savignanese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Savignanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Savignanese has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mezzolara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mezzolara found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
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Savignanese

(Away)
23 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 1
Sammaurese
16 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0
Savignanese
09 Feb
Savignanese
1 : 0
Breno
02 Feb
Ciliverghe Mazzano
3 : 2
Savignanese
26 Jan
Savignanese
0 : 0
Franciacorta
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