Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mezzolara vs Terranuova Traiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mezzolara host Terranuova Traiana in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mezzolara have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Terranuova Traiana's 1.07 scored and 1.07 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.31) point toward Terranuova Traiana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mezzolara
35%
Draws
32%
Terranuova Traiana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Terranuova Traiana come out ahead of Mezzolara on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mezzolara a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 18%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Terranuova Traiana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 67 / 100
Terranuova Traiana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Terranuova Traiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mezzolara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Terranuova Traiana conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Mezzolara's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Terranuova Traiana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS Terranuova Traiana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
18 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1
Mezzolara
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6

Terranuova Traiana

(Away)
18 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Scandicci
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3
Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Prato
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)